EUR/USD At Support Level

The dollar rallied further yesterday, bringing the EUR/USD back down to a multi-year trend line.  In early April the dollar pierced through a downward sloping trend line near 1.42 at the time and now is retesting these levels.  While this could provide some sort of support, our take is that the dollar's strength here, partially […]

Levels To Watch On SPX, RUT, IYT

Good Morning Again! Here are the levels I am watching on the S&P500, the Russell 2000, and the Dow Transports ETF (IYT). SPX Support: 1320, 50 day moving average (yellow line), 1310, 1300.   SPX Resistance: 1340, 1345.   I still see a potential final SPX upside target somewhere between 1380 and 1450. RUT Support: […]

F5 Networks (FFIV) Still Acting Weak – Ride The Trend

In the chat-room we have been short FFVi for the past 10 days or so and are sticking with our final profit target of $88 so far.  It's been a big move down off the highs at $145ish and I'm not trying to pick up pennies after making dollars, but this particular stock remains acting […]

Altria Group (MO) All-Time High A Fade?

Yesterday MO made a new all-time high and as such closed above last November's high.  With earnings coming up on April 20th and the stock having had the massive move up, the question I am asking is whether it is worth trying to fade this potential double-top formation.  Fundamentally speaking I can see demand from […]

Chesapeake Energy (CHK) Failing At Important Levels

Yesterday I scribbled about the nice consolidation phase in CHK and how above $34.60 I could be a buyer for a bucket 2 trade, see here http://steadytrader.wpengine.com/chesapeake-energy-chk-attractive-above-34-60/ Today's price action is entirely different and all the more important to note.  Today CHK broke below an uptrend line in place since last December, as well as the […]

Oil’s Pullback So Far Is Healthy Consolidation

Despite all the headlines oil's 7% drop has made this week, oil thus far still remains above the $105 level where it broke higher from in late March.  As discussed in today's Morning Line-Up Newsletter however, I would not be a buyer here until I see price stabilize.  My long target (i closed my longs […]

Morning Thoughts November 11

The freak show that is the current volatility in the markets continued yesterday as stocks opened higher, tested the Wednesday lows and rallied back up to the open levels again.  Nutty?  Sure.  But it is also what is and as traders and investors we must make the best of it.  That is not to say […]

Italy Yields vs France Yields

people are saying France is next with a run on its yields.  couple of things though: france is not italy…they are much more conservative in their spending habits looking at the yield graph below it is clear that french 10 year bond yields are nowhere near those of italy. so…let's keep things in perspective and […]

Equities versus credit

the white line is the S&P 500 futures the orange line is investment grade credit the yellow line is high yield credit   the smart money trades credit so we must follow their moves.  yesterday (thurs nov 10th) credit ended the day at the lows of the day (spread at highs means price is at […]

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