We are buying the TLT etf (Market Video Update)
After a big sell-off in bond prices of late (and thus the TLT etf), we see the rate of change in that sell-off to be peaking. This is another way of saying that we see bond yields (and inflation) peaking from a rate of change perspective, in the intermediate term. Thus, we are buying the […]
Watch the Yield Curve If You Care About Your Portfolio (Market Video Update)
The yield curve (bonds) is a key indicator of risk-on/risk-off environments. The US Treasury yield curve has been flattening for months now, indicating a riskier environment for stocks. Once the yield curve begins to steepen again the odds for stocks going higher quickly improve.
Early Signs to Buy the QQQ again (Market Video Update)
After many months of being out of an outright bearish parts of technology stocks, we are now starting to see early signs that reward to risk to buy the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) ETF is getting better again
Not Down is Up in This Market (Market Video Update)
In this choppy market environment, having a set of stocks that is not down (a lot, like many high beta tech stocks) is a good thing. While some label consumer staples stocks as boring, in 2022 so far they are showing great opportunity and relative strength.
Why Energy Stocks Could Rally Much More (Market Video Update)
Both in absolute and relative terms energy stocks have been on a tear, especially versus technology stocks. But our research indicates that energy stocks could rally plenty further.
Don’t do this in Bear Markets! (Market Video Update)
In bear markets one just has to sell or be short stocks to be profitable, right? Unfortunately most ‘bears’ don’t make money even in bear markets, and there is a very specific reason why.
It could finally be time for GLD to shine (Market Video Update)
After a long and dormant period for gold and the GLD etf, the macro environment as well as the charts now point to greener pastures for the shiny metal.
Bullish copper and copper stocks (Market Video Update)
The price of copper, like many commodities has had a good run through a multi-year lens. But a much larger trend could be in the early stages of unfolding. This would not only benefit the price of copper but also copper mining and copper related stocks.
The strongest sectors right now (Market Video Update)
What are the strongest and weakest trends in the stock market and other markets right now? Let’s rank them quickly using our Market Rover. Remember, the trend is your friend until it ends.
Short tech and long energy is our trade (Market Video Update)
Over the past couple of months the average tech stock is down 20% while energy stocks as a sector are up 25%. That is a giant divergence of performance. One can be better prepared for the correct asset allocation with a straightforward trend following approach.