Bucket 2: Potential Long-Side in SPY

Little technical here folks, but look at the S&P 500 futures chart below.  Note last Friday we retraced and held 50% of the move from Nov1 up to Nov 3.  We also have an unfilled gap up above from last week and the 23.6% Fibhonacci extension gets us right up there.  A long-side try via […]

Bucket 3 Idea: Short ANF Calls

ANF fell hard (almost 17%) last Thursday as the company announced weak guidance.  That has left out of the money calls with good volatility and hence juicy options premium.  We are considering selling out of the money calls with January expiration in the name later today.  On the weekly chart note the trading range for […]

Wedge On The S&P 500 Chart

note the wedging activity happening on the S&P 500 here on an hourly chart.  a breakout to the upside is entirely possible…

Bucket 2: closed short position in UA entirely

Closed short position in UA at $83.54 after reducing it last week already at lower prices don't want to take the risk of this thing breaking higher momentum funds can easily chase it higher into a pop in the broader market

Morning Thoughts Friday October 7

Stocks yesterday again closed at their absolute highs…third day in a row now.  Volume was OK but nothing great.  Commodities too rallied with Crude Oil again above $80  and copper nearlq 10% off its lows from earlier this week. Gold and silver are trading in a narrow band at the moment and we need to […]

Update on EUR/USD…Long-Side Opportunity

the steep drop from 1.45 down to 1.315 on the EUR/USD cross might have been a little too steep.  A 50% retracement of that move would take it up to near 1.384.  we are considering a long position in FXE up to the 1.38 target on EUR/USD.  also, there is significant divergence in the stochastic […]

Profit Taking In IWM and CSCO

we closed the rest of our B2 long position in IWM this morning.  CSCO hit our first profit target this morning and while our long position in the stock is a Bucket 3 we took a little profits…just good risk management and clears the head.

Long FXE (EUR/USD)

we are long FXE for a Bucket 2 trade targeting 1.38. europe news may have reached a near-term negative extreme that could lead the euro to rally a bit here…before eventually then dropping again.

Dollar Index Support Area To Watch

we've discussed the dollar index a ton here over the past few months and noted the breakout of the downtrend resistance line in early September.  In conjunction with the EUR/USD previous post on EUR/USD it is conceivable for the dollar to give up more gains in the near-term and an interesting target area to us […]

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